Brian Cubbison, who is just down the road from me at the Syracuse Post-Standard, found an interesting quote from Scott Adams.
“Dilbert” creator Scott Adams predicts that newspapers will die out within two upgrades of a cell phone.
“The iPhone, and its inevitable copycats, (let’s call them iClones) are newspaper killers,” he writes in the Dilbert Blog. “When you have a web browser in your pocket, a printed newspaper is redundant.”
He admits that 10 years ago, he predicted newspapers would die out in five years. So maybe newspapers will last for at least four upgrades of a cell phone.
Technology is the biggest competitor news on paper faces.
I’ve said before, technology is changing fast and the speed of change is only accelerating.
If it isn’t the iPhone, it will be something else that poses an even more serious challenge to news on paper than the web does today.
The threat isn’t from all people making the leap.Â It’s from just enough making the leap to turn newspapers from struggling but still profitable enterprises into money losing empty shells.
No newspaper owner, private or public, not even a “non-profit” one, is going to keep an enterprise going that is losing money and shows no hope of ever making money again.
We simply must get on top of this technology curve and figure out a profitable path.
And think about this — if dumping the print edition on the web isn’t a smart strategy, how much dumber will it be for mobile consumers, who are likely to be even more driven by “tell me what you know now” and “keep it short” than today’s web audience?